ヴィトンモノグラム: November 2013

Thursday, November 21, 2013

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During his September address to Congress, Barack Obama put his less-than-responsible critics on notice.chanel handbags for sale “If you misrepresent what’s in this plan, we will call you out,” he said. After the wee-weed days of August, this was Obama’s way of saying he and the rest of the White House communications office was sick of playing “Reality Check” defense. He was going to start shining a spotlight on those responsible for falsehoods. (As it happened, the delivery of this message was somewhat confused, since moments later Rep.handbags louis vuitton Joe Wilson screamed “You lie!”–demonstrating that the caller out can also be called out, or something like that.) But true to Obama’s promise, the White House, in concert with the Democratic National Committee, has become more aggressive in recent weeks, with lots of tough press releases and internet videos on everything from “czars” to Republican “scaremongering.” The DNC even created a “Call ‘Em Out” template for its website, which currently features a less-than-flattering picture of House Republican leader John Boehner, with the tag line “Enough. We’re calling him out,” a full blown political attempt at a catch phrase–like Donald Trump saying “You’re Fired” or Jenna saying “That’s A Dealbreaker” on 30 Rock.louis vuitton shoes replica But today, the White House took the “Call ‘Em Out” game to a new level with a blog post, on the White House website (not the DNC site), targeting Fox News, an entire media organization, for what the White House calls “Fox lies.” The lies at issue here concern the utterances of Fox News’ Glenn Beck on Tuesday night and Steve Doocey on Tuesday morning. Both Beck and Doocey said things that were false, and truth be told, this is not the first time, nor is it likely the last. What is interesting is how the White House responded by trying to discredit, or, um, “call out” the network for being less than fully patriotic: Last night Fox News continued its disregard for the facts in an attempt to smear the Administration’s efforts to win the Olympics for the United States.gucci handbag for sale In the past, hosting the Olympics has been a source of pride and unity for the country, but once again Fox News’ Glenn Beck program has shown that nothing is worthy of respect if it can be used as part of a partisan attack to boost ratings. Quite a twist, eh? This is just the latest public declaration in the barely-subsurface battle that has been going on for months between Fox News and the White House–which Fox is winning at least in terms of ratings. We are in new terrain here. The White House is using its official blog to go after a network.fake gucci shoes The network long ago demonstrated that its raison d’etre for the moment is organizing, chaneling and profiting from the opposition to basically anything the White House does. Since both the White House and Fox are largely trying to rally different audiences, they can both benefit by keeping this fight going. In other words, there is a lot more “Calling ‘Em Out” to come.
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House Republicans have called upon Congressman Alan Grayson (D-Fla.louis vuitton belts) to apologize for this characterization of their health plan on the House floor last night: Sure enough, under threat of reprimand, Grayson returned to the House floor tonight. But I’m thinking this is not exactly what his critics had in mind: UPDATE: While most of the cable chatter today is probably going to be about Grayson’s use of the word “holocaust,” what about the fairness of Grayson’s original contention that the GOP “plan” is “Die Quickly”? I attempted to answer that in our comments section, but thought it was worth adding to the original post as well: The papers [that Reublicans were holding during the President's speech] do not appear to have been blank, as evidenced by these photos, but I was not in the Chamber that night and don’t know what was on them. There have been a few proposals advanced by individual Republicans, including this one that I wrote about in May. And of course, they have offered hundreds of amendments in the five different committees that have undertaken to write health care legislation.louis vuitton outlet online But I think it is fair to say that their overall approach–at least recently, after I wrote that initial story–has been to say no. The lone exception is Olympia Snowe, who (as I wrote last week) has been involved in heavy negotiations that have made her influential in shaping the Senate Finance Committee bill. You can see what she has done here. Republicans have talked frequently about tort reform and the need to make it possible to buy insurance across state lines.louis vuitton backpack for sale And they say they are in favor of things like: setting up new markets for purchasing health insurance, leveling the playing field so that small businesses and those who purchase on the individual market get the same kind of deal that big corporations do, and getting rid of exclusions for pre-existing conditions. (Interesting, as they say that, they rarely mention that all these latter features are in the major Democratic bills.) So perhaps a more precise description of the overall GOP approach at the moment would be: Stop the Democrats. Which in practice can also be read as: Do Nothing.gucci outlet online UPDATE2: Dana Milbank on some of those Republican amendments.
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You may have heard that on Tuesday evening, the Senate Finance Committee approved another Hatch amendment (he’s got a million of ‘em, folks) to restore $50 million in Title V funding for abstinence-only programs that Congress allowed to expire in June.fake gucci shoes As you might imagine, this has social conservatives somersaulting and social liberals…well, not so much. There are, however, good reasons to believe that we are not headed back to the Bush era of sex education policy. For one, less attention has been given to the fact that the committee also gave the thumbs-up to a Baucus amendment that appropriates $75 million in grants to comprehensive sex ed programs, as well as research into innovative strategies to prevent teen pregnancy. That’s a 50% increase over the amount Obama requested in his FY2010 budget.louis vuitton backpack for sale? Second, programs that receive abstinence funding under Title V have to adhere to an eight-point definition of abstinence, the so-called “A through H” definition. But while the Bush administration required that qualifying programs give equal weight to all eight points, Kathleen Sebelius’ HHS–which will award and administer the grants–could return to the earlier understanding that programs place emphasis on some points more than others. Let’s look at them: A. Have as its exclusive purpose teaching the social, psychological, and health gains to be realized by abstaining from sexual activity B.louis vuitton outlet online Teach abstinence from sexual activity outside marriage as the expected standard for all school-age children C. Teach that abstinence from sexual activity is the only certain way to avoid out-of-wedlock pregnancy, sexually transmitted diseases, and other associated health problems D. Teach that a mutually faithful, monogamous relationship in the context of marriage is the expected standard of sexual activity E. Teach that sexual activity outside the context of marriage is likely to have harmful psychological and physical effects F.fake uggs Teach that bearing children out-of-wedlock is likely to have harmful consequences for the child, the child’s parents, and society G. Teach young people how to reject sexual advances and how alcohol and drug use increases vulnerability to sexual advances H. Teach the importance of attaining self-sufficiency before engaging in sexual activity Now, obviously that first point (A) is the most contentious is you’re an advocate of comprehensive sex ed because it precludes instruction about contraception. But B, C, F, G, and H are fairly central components of standard comprehensive curricula, and research shows that they need to part of any effective pregnancy prevention program.louis vuitton neverfull These abstinence programs still aren’t going to be as successful as comprehensive strategies that include a strong abstinence message. But a Democratic HHS not only isn’t likely to require programs to make “not until marriage” the central message–the agency also doesn’t have to award grants to programs that do so, nor to programs that disseminate false information about the risks of contraception. Finally, it’s far from certain that the Hatch funding will survive to the final version of health care reform, should it become law. GOP Rep.replica gucci shoes Lee Terry offered a similar amendment during the House mark-up of health care and it was voted down. Abstinence-only is back for now, but it ain’t what it used to be.
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Wednesday, November 20, 2013

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Monday, Feb.ugg boots outlet 6, was Ronald Reagan’s birthday, and once again Republicans paid homage to the Gipper ?? perhaps the only Republican, apart from Abraham Lincoln, about whom no GOPer dares speak ill. Reagan is to Republican candidates what Kim Il Sung is to North Korean apparatchiks. It’s not good enough to say you love and admire Reagan; you’ve got to outdo the other guy in demonstrating the depth of your love for the man. Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, for instance, have spent weeks bickering about which of them best represents the Reagan legacy, including a textual examination of the man’s diaries.louis vuitton backpack for sale (Video: Reagan’s Words: The Speeches of a Great Communicator) What Republicans like Gingrich and Romney ignore, however, is that even Reagan wasn’t quite the Reagan of their memory. Certainly the real Reagan would have some explaining to do to a Republican Party that has shifted to the right in the 23 years since he left office. Today’s conservative Republicans are loath to compromise with Democrats and militant about not raising taxes. But in 1983 Reagan worked with Democratic House Speaker Tip O’Neill to come up with a bipartisan plan to reform Social Security.fake louis vuitton shoes He also worked with liberal Democratic Senator Bill Bradley, among others, to pass a major tax-reform bill in 1986. Admittedly, that tax bill did not raise taxes ?? it was revenue neutral. But Reagan did, in fact, raise taxes several times during his presidency, including a 1982 tax hike aimed at reining in the deficit. Reagan’s record runs left of current GOP dogma in other ways.fake gucci shoes Most Republicans today insist that Bill Clinton emboldened al-Qaeda by not retaliating more forcefully to terrorist events like the 2000 U.S.S. Cole bombing and the first World Trade Center attack.louis vuitton handbags for sale But when a suicide bomber killed hundreds of U.S. Marines in their Beirut barracks, Reagan yanked America’s military out of Lebanon ?? and didn’t retaliate (prompting?complaints from Republican hawks even then). He fretted about basing a counterstrike on murky intelligence and the possibility of civilian casualties.replica chanel shoes Imagine how Gingrich would respond if Barack Obama tried an excuse like that. (MORE:?What Will Mitt Romney Talk About if the Economy Gets Better?) Nuclear weapons? Sure, we all remember how Reagan stared down the Soviets militarily. Less discussed is that he was a starry-eyed believer in a future world free of nuclear weapons. ??We seek the total elimination one day of nuclear weapons from the face of the earth,?? Reagan declared in his 1985 Inaugural Address.louis vuitton handbags for sale Guess who else believes strongly in a nuclear-weapons-free world? If you want more, read Joshua Green’s long take on this topic. Needless to say, Reagan was no liberal. But his legacy is more complex than today’s Republicans make it out to be. That’s party a natural function of political romanticism.fake ugg boots Most Democrats, after all, prefer the rosiest possible view of Jack Kennedy. But it also tells you something about how the GOP itself has changed over the past two decades.
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In a reversal, Obama signals donors to start funding the super PAC started by his former aide.loui vuitton Democrats return $200k in donations from the family of a fugitive seeking a pardon. Geoffrey Stone on why money is speech. Obama swing voters: young, female and secular. Republicans didn’t like Chrysler’s commercial; Clint Eastwood gave his fee to charity.louis vuitton replica How Missouri ended up holding a completely pointless primary today. Donald Trump was gracious enough to allow Romney to win Nevada. Payroll tax cut extension debate heads toward derailment. And Congressman Unfamiliar With The Onion.cheap gucci belts
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Most Americans won’t have the power to choose the next President because they live in states so tilted towards one end of the political spectrum that the election outcome, barring calamity, is not in doubt.louis vuitton belts Mitt Romney doesn’t really have a chance in California. Barack Obama is not going to win Texas. What matters instead is a group of so-called swing states. And on paper, Obama’s fortunes in these states have declined further and faster than they have for the nation as a whole, both since Obama arrived in Washington, and since the midterm elections in 2010.cheap gucci belts To draw this conclusion, I looked at state-by-state data recently released by Gallup, and recent Bureau of Labor Statistics reports, analyzing 15 potential swing states. Here’s what I found: –In 9 of the 15 swing states, Obama’s job approval rating declined more between 2010 to 2011 than it did nationally. For instance, in Colorado Obama’s approval rating declined from 45.2% in 2010 to 40.louis vuitton belts4% in 2011, a drop of 4.8 points. Nationwide, Obama’s approval from 46.8% to 44.louis vuitton replica4%, or 2.4 points. –In 10 of the 15 states, Obama’s approval rating was lower in 2011 than the national rating of 44.4%.louis vuitton shoes replica Taken as a group, the 15 states gave Obama an average approval rating of 43%. (In the charts below, red text shows state numbers that are worse for Obama than national numbers.) –In 10 of the 15 swing states, Democratic Party identification declined more between 2010 to 2011 than it did nationally. In 11 of the 15 states, the Democratic identification was lower in 2011 than the national number of 43.louis vuitton handbags for sale7%. –In 12 of the 15 swing states, the number of employed residents rose more slowly between December of 2010 and December of 2011 than nationally. For example, Nevada enjoyed only a 0.4% increase total seasonally-adjusted non-farm payrolls over the year, while the nationwide increase was 1.louis vuitton speedy3%. –In 10 of the 15 states, the decrease in working citizens between December of 2008 and December of 2011 has been greater locally than the nationally. For example, total North Carolina non-farm payroll declined 4.2% between December of 2008 and December of 2011, while national payrolls declined 2.louis vuitton shoes replica3% during the same period. –In 11 out of the 14 swing states that Obama won in 2008, Obama’s approval rating since 2009 has declined more than his margin of victory. For instance, Obama won Pennsylvania by 10.4 points, but has lost 12.cheap gucci belts4 points in his approval rating between 2009 and 2011. (In Missouri, which Obama lost by about 0.1%, his approval stood at a paltry 38.6% in 2011, down from 55.cheap gucci belts5% in 2009.) This last data point is by no means determinative, since Obama’s approval rating in 2009 was higher across the board than his margin of victory in 2008. But it does show the large number of one-time Obama fans who have soured on the President. There is still time for the numbers to move in Obama’s direction before the election.fake uggs More recent Gallup national polls, for example, show increases in presidential approval ratings and economic confidence since 2011. It is also true that the states included in this analysis are not the definitive list of swing states because the electoral map tends to shift over time. But something else is also clear: 2011 was not a good year for Obama nationally. It was even worse in a majority of the states he most needs to win in 2012.louis vuitton belts
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Reversals in politics are typically cast as character blights.replica louis vuitton So for politicians preparing major flip-flops, the best defense is often a character-defining offense.? Mitt Romney loves to tell a story about his principled realization that abortion should be outlawed–despite his previous promise to keep it legal–as a tale of his own moral enlightenment. On Monday, when Barack Obama’s campaign reversed its previous pledge to keep a distance from big-spending independent expenditure groups known as super PACs, campaign manager Jim Messina tried to spin it as a tough-guy equality thing. “We Will Not Play By Two Sets Of Rules,” ran the headline of the blog post announcing the switch.louis vuitton handbags for sale But there is more in common between the two flip-flops than just the spin. In both cases, the changes in position hit a hard to find political sweet spot: They were both politically expeditious and more intellectually defensible than each politician’s previous position. Let’s start with Romney. He ran for Senate in Massachusetts saying that he was personally anti-abortion, but respected the decisions of women who choose otherwise.fake uggs This works from a distance, but the issue of life is a hard one to meet halfway. He never publicly wrestled with the questions his position raised: Was an unborn fetus in the first trimester an independent life? Did Romney therefore believe that some lives can be taken? By reversing course, he settled this problem, and smoothed his path as a national Republican. Obama’s previous position on super PACs was also intellectually dicey. In 2007, Obama? argued that John Edwards had the power to shut down an independent campaign run on his behalf in Iowa by former aides.chanel outlet “The fact is this is someone who worked for John Edwards, for the last who knows how many years, who’s a good friend and colleague of Edwards, who’s now running a 527 that is running ads on behalf of John Edwards,” Obama told reporters at a diner in West Des Moines. “You are telling me he has no influence over him? That’s not true. If Robert Gibbs started running a 527 and I called Robert and said, ‘Stop running ads on my behalf,’ are you suggesting I would have no influence over Robert Gibbs?” This is almost exactly the situation that Obama now found himself in with Priorities USA, a super PAC founded by Gibbs’ former right-hand man, Bill Burton. By making a show of opposing Burton’s effort, Obama opened himself up to the same question he posed to Edwards: Why not call Burton and tell him to shut it down? Now that problem is solved.louis vuitton backpack for sale Obama officially likes what Burton is doing–at least the part that discloses its donors. Obama’s flip-flop had made him more consistent.
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Tuesday, November 19, 2013

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Hollywood loves a good yarn about pirates on the high seas.fake uggs Piracy online? Not so much. Every day, people around the world effectively steal countless movies, songs and other copyrighted content through websites offering illegal downloads. The big movie and music studios have fought this thievery for years, with some success. They hounded Napster out of business.louis vuitton replica Their high-profile (if unpopular) lawsuits against music downloaders–remorselessly targeting people of all age groups–produced a clear deterrent effect. Major websites like YouTube are quick to take down copyrighted content when asked. But the music and movie industries have struggled to combat overseas-based pirate sites that are mostly beyond the reach of U.S.louis vuitton speedy law. So they have turned to Congress for help, and rallied support for two measures: the House’s Stop Online Piracy Act (SOPA), and the Protect IP Act (PIPA). Both would create new legal powers to give American companies–including TIME’s parent company, Time Warner, which supports this legislation–the ability to fight back against these foreign “rogue” sites. (MORE: How Effective Were the Website Blackout SOPA Protests?) The problem is that Silicon Valley hates Internet regulation.ugg boots outlet And its dot-com business leaders, including Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg and Google chairman Eric Schmidt, particularly hate these bills. They liken provisions that would block links to pirate website from Google search results to the online censorship of Beijing and Tehran. They say a measure that would force advertisers to cut off their payments to pirate sites is open to abuse and misapplication, and could drive innocent web companies out of business. And they accuse Hollywood of exaggerating the economic harm it’s suffering.gucci handbag for sale In the new print issue, I’ve done a fuller rundown of the arguments the two sides are making about the merits of passing SOPA, PIPA or some variation of the two, which all-access subscribers can read here. What I didn’t have space to get into is the remarkable political and lobbying story behind this policy standoff. Just a few weeks ago, it looked as though Hollywood was going to get most of what it wanted without much fuss. But the dot-coms came back from the holidays with a vengeance, and have stopped the bills in their tracks for now.cheap gucci belts In part this is a story about the lobbying clout of a well-established industry meeting the new Washington power of an upstart, but extremely wealthy, rival. Google may only have opened a Washington lobbying office five years ago, but it is catching up fast to a game the Motion Picture Association of America and the Recording Industry of America have been playing for decades. (Although it appears that the MPAA may be playing right now with one arm tied behind its back, thanks to lobbying rules that restrain its new chairman, former Senator Chris Dodd. See this amusing account for more.chanel handbags for sale) (MORE: Ten Prominent Sites That Went Dark Over SOPA and PIPA) Silicon Valley also has a weapon that is perhaps even more powerful: the ability to shape public opinion in a hurry. Yesterday’s blackout by Wikipedia and related protests by countless other sites drove this issue into the consciousness of millions of Americans who have never picked up a copy of Roll Call in their lives, and wouldn’t otherwise have known or cared about the SOPA fight. Now it looks like a burst of public outrage–Google says that 4.5 million people signed an anti-SOPA petition yesterday–has members of Congress running scared.replica louis vuitton Whether the studios can regain the political momentum in this fight should reveal just how much, when it comes to the Washington influence game, the balance of power has shifted from Hollywood to Silicon Valley.
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I expect that it will have little bearing on the outcome of the Republican primaries, but I was surprised by the conversation in last night’s debate about the great Hollywood vs.replica gucci shoes Silicon Valley brawl underway in Washington over online piracy. You can read my piece from this morning for a primer on the debate over what is shorthanded as SOPA (the Stop Online Piracy Act). But the gist is that the big record and movie studios are pressing Congress for new powers to crack down on copyright theft by piracy websites that allow users to, for instance, download free copies of Mission: Impossible: Ghost Protocol. In response, the Silicon Valley-based dot-com world is warning that the remedies under discussion are ill conceived, authoritarian and will cause severe unintended economic consequences.replica louis vuitton Right now Congress has slammed the brakes on SOPA and its Senate counterpart bill, the Protect IP Act (PIPA), and its advocates are regrouping to see what they might salvage. When the issue came up last night, I thought the GOP candidates (save perhaps the libertarian Ron Paul) might reflexively talk tough about stamping out copyright theft, and express support for some kind of strong legislative action. In part I was thinking politics: Hollywood execs and music moguls are not traditional Republican allies, to be sure, but the GOP-friendly U.S.louis vuitton handbags for sale Chamber of Commerce and influential CEOs like Rupert Murdoch are pushing hard for the legislation. (Here’s where I dutifully note that TIME’s corporate parent, Time Warner, is doing the same.) But there’s also principle: Republicans tend to put a high priority on law and order, often subordinating other issues like civil rights or personal freedom. Think of the stop-and-search debate in urban areas, the opposition to illegal immigrant “amnesty,” or homeland security measures like wiretapping.louis vuitton neverfull And yet not one of the four candidates on stage expressed support for SOPA/PIPA. “I’m standing for freedom,” declared Mitt Romney, who called the bills “far too threatening to freedom of speech and movement of information across the Internet.” Newt Gingrich allowed that he is still “weighing” the issue, but then ripped Hollywood’s pro-regulation position: “The idea that we’re going to preemptively have the government start censoring the Internet on behalf of giant corporations’ economic interests strikes me as exactly the wrong thing to do.” Also citing “freedom,” Ron Paul boasted that he was the first Republican to oppose the law.louis vuitton shoes replica Only Rick Santorum, who sounded a little startled by the consensus forming around him, gave the entertainment industry’s position any real credence, and nodded to the traditional law-and-order line: “The Internet is not a free zone where anybody can do anything they want to do and trample the rights of other people…. We have laws, and the respect of law and the rule of law is an important thing.” Yet even Santorum made clear that he doesn’t support the law, which he said “goes too far.” I don’t have a neat explanation for this consensus.replica louis vuitton You might theorize that the candidates have concluded that there’s more money to be raised from Silicon Valley than from Hollywood. And that Internet giants like Facebook and Twitter have enough public support and influence to inflict real harm on a candidate who crosses them. (And that rebuking Rupert Murdoch is hard, but ticking off Chris Dodd is fun.) Or perhaps the candidates were persuaded by the argument that SOPA really was poorly crafted, and sure to cause collateral damage.louis vuitton backpack for sale And that, when in doubt, the system should not err on the side of protecting intellectual property but rather defending the autonomy of the Internet–in which case we’re witnessing a defining moment of political philosophy. All that being said, this debate isn’t over. SOPA’s chief sponsor has withdrawn his bill, and its opponents are celebrating. But Ron Paul almost surely got it right last night when he issued a warning to his audience: “This bill is not going to pass,” he said.cheap gucci belts “But watch out for the next one.
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Orangeburg, South Carolina Jim Ulmer has a problem.louis vuitton handbags for sale Hundreds of people are crammed into a strip mall in Orangeburg to hear Newt Gingrich speak, and the man of the moment is nowhere to be found. Which leaves a handful of local Republican officials–including Ulmer, the Orangeburg County GOP chairman–to warm up the fidgety crowd. ??Is he here yet??? Ulmer jokes. ??I??ve run out of spit.ugg boots outlet?? And so Ulmer gamely musters a few Strom Thurmond stories to tide over the anxious crowd. Hugh Weathers, the state??s agriculture commissioner ?? and, until this week, a Rick Perry supporter ?? leads the crowd through the National Anthem. By now a Newt chant has started and sputtered, and the crowd is tiring of the warm-up acts. ??Is he here yet??? Ulmer asks again, a little weakly this time.fake chanel shoes Gingrich arrived 50 minutes late to a reception befitting a front runner. In a hairpin turn, that??s what he??s become in South Carolina, just a week after the pundits he loves to pummel were dancing on the grave of his campaign. On the eve of the pivotal Palmetto State primary, three new polls showed Gingrich leapfrogging Mitt Romney on the strength of forceful debate performances, including six-point leads in two. His surge sets up a Saturday showdown that could either all but wrap up the Republican nomination for Romney or usher the bruising battle into a new, uncertain phase.louis vuitton outlet online As of Friday night, the two candidates’ schedules had both of them appearing at the same time Saturday morning in a Greenville restaurant. For Gingrich, this is where the fun starts. At a massive town hall here Friday afternoon, Gingrich told the overflow crowd that a win in South Carolina would propel him to the GOP nomination. ??I do believe if I win tomorrow, I will go on to become your nominee,?? he said.louis vuitton handbags for sale Even Chuck Norris hopped aboard the Gingrich wagon and endorsed the former House speaker. With the same flair he used to flay debate moderators this week, Gingrich gleefully blistered President Obama and Romney, sometimes in the same breath. He assailed Obama??s Administration for its weakness and urged Republicans to nominate a conservative capable of drawing a sharp contrast with the President. ??We??re going to take the first big step toward ensuring that a conservative is nominated for President of the United States,?? he said.fake ugg boots “I hope to win South Carolina, you know, God willing we’ll win. And tomorrow night will be very interesting and then Florida will be even more interesting.?? Interesting probably isn??t the word Romney would use privately. On Friday, he and his aides sought to downplay expectations after a week that began with a sizable lead.louis vuitton neverfull ??Frankly, to be in a neck-and-neck race at this last moment is kind of exciting,?? Romney told reporters during a campaign stop in Gilbert, S.C. For the third day in a row, he enlisted surrogates to skewer Gingrich as an unreliable leader. In a call with reporters, Congressman Jeff Flake called Gingrich ??the granddaddy of earmarks.louis vuitton handbags for sale?? Mimicking the pressure Gingrich applied on Romney??s unreleased tax returns, the former Massachusetts governor urged Gingrich to make public files from the congressional ethics investigation that ended with Gingrich agreeing to pay a $300,000 fine in 1997. Gingrich smiled when asked about Romney??s comments. ??Don??t you love these guys? He doesn??t release anything,?? Gingrich said, alluding to the controversy over Romney??s tax returns.? ??He doesn??t answer anything.gucci handbag for sale He??s even confused about whether he??ll ever release anything, and then he goes to pick a fight??? Unlike Romney, Gingrich relishes this sort of political pugilism. What he doesn??t enjoy quite as much is tending to the quotidian duties that make successful campaigns hum. On the last day before the first-in-the-South primary, he waved away a question about his ability to compete with Romney over a protracted campaign. ??Well, we seem to be,?? he said.louis vuitton outlet online The reporter pointed out Romney??s sizable fundraising advantage. ??Not financially. You didn??t say financially. You said, ‘Can I compete?’?? Propelled by forceful debate performances, Gingrich has demonstrated an ability to convince Republican voters that his checkered past isn??t as important as his ability to shepherd the country into an uncertain future.fake louis vuitton shoes ??We have big problems, and big problems take big thinkers,?? Weathers, the state??s agricultural commissioner, told voters in Orangeburg. Being a big thinker may not be enough. For years, competing for the nomination has required mastering the rules of a game that involves attention to fundraising, assembling an organization, logistical rigor and message discipline. Gingrich drips with disdain for everything but the ideas, and suggests the blueprint is out of date.replica chanel shoes ??The Washington consultant model is that you have to measure a campaign by its finances, because that??s how consultants get paid,?? Gingrich said, suggesting it was no longer necessary in the age of the Internet. ??Look at Rick Santorum??s campaign in Iowa.?? But Santorum relied on a traditional retail model, whereas Gingrich??s choices can be bewildering. After canceling his first event, a sparsely attended GOP conference in Charleston, he held his first event Friday at a children??s hospital, of all places, where bemused staffers watched warily as a jumbled mass of media crowded the lobby awaiting his arrival.replica louis vuitton After a tour, the Gingrichs headed to the seventh floor for a photo op in a children??s playroom, the sort of place where bright colors carpets fought valiantly to cheer up a space that could never be cheerful. Surrounded by at least 50 reporters and cameramen, Callista??accompanied by her protagonist, Ellis the Elephant–read her children??s book to four kids, two of whom seemed fixated on the rubber dinosaurs and plastic castles just out of their reach. No one but Gingrich would kick off a critical day of campaigning at a stop where the only eligible voters were the staffers paid to be there. But he enjoyed it.chanel outlet “We talked about autism, Alzheimer??s, traumatic brain injury, cardiology ?? things that really interest me,” he told me. Gingrich is also interested in cultivating his reputation for doing things differently. Asked during Thursday night??s debate what he would change about his campaign in hindsight, he said: ??I would skip the opening three months where I hired regular consultants and tried to be a normal candidate. And just go straight to being a big ideas big solutions internet-based campaign from day one.chanel outlet It just didn??t work, it??s not who I am, I??m not capable of being a traditional candidate.?? But conceding Romney the perks of a traditional candidacy??including his huge fundraising edge??may be a mistake born of hubris. Even if Gingrich wins on Saturday, Romney takes his pile of cash money and organization clout into Florida, where he??s expected to prevail before the race pivots to a series of caucus states where Gingrich will face a massive organizational deficit–he won??t be on the ballot in Virginia, and the debate calendar will thin as the race drags on. For now, though, Gingrich has convinced South Carolina conservatives like Jim Ulmer that he is the right man for a rocky moment.louis vuitton backpack for sale ??Folks know the future of the Republic is at stake,?? Ulmer says. ??A lot of us think he??s up to it.
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Wednesday, November 13, 2013

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Romney inevitable again.louis vuitton handbags for sale Next up: Minnesota and a possible Bachmann endorsement. He’ll get Secret Service protection. The Sunlight Foundation digs in on brand new super PAC disclosures. GOP elders fear wages of war.gucci outlet online Florida turnout was low. Allen West will switch districts. Why a major cancer charity dumped Planned Parenthood. Obama’s latest refinancing plan.louis vuitton speedy And photos from Florida.
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January was an exhausting? month for the American people.fake uggs They endured four major Republican nominating contests that resulted in three different winners, three dropouts, seven televised debates and the hundreds of hours of breathless cable news coverage that all those things entail. The Anyone-But-Mitt movement was pronounced dead after New Hampshire and jolted miraculously back to life a week later by Newt Gingrich’s victory in South Carolina — only to flatline again with Romney’s rout Tuesday in Florida. But after the adrenaline rush, dutiful followers of the democratic process can now finally relax. A lull has arrived.chanel handbags for sale February is going to be downright boring. Debate bloodsport has been the main attraction of the GOP primary to date, and one of the primary drivers of its volatility. But Gingrich won’t have many moderators to kick around in February. There is only one televised forum scheduled for the next month, a Cable News Network affair slated for the 22nd in Arizona.louis vuitton outlet online (In the meantime, serial recap artist Michael Scherer may even get to see sunlight again, if we let him.) (MORE:?Mitt Romney Wins Florida Primary in a Rout) Moreover, February holds just three major contests for the GOP candidates: Primaries in Michigan and Arizona on Feb. 28 and a caucus in Nevada on the 4th. With the former coming at the very end of the month and the latter falling on Super Bowl weekend, still in the shadow of the Florida primary, there won’t be much fanfare.louis vuitton backpack for sale Colorado, Missouri, Minnesota and Maine will hold contests too, but party rules have effectively rendered them ephemera. In another stroke of monotony, all the territory that matters is friendly ground for Romney. He won Nevada’s caucuses with a majority of the vote in 2008, thanks in no small part to the fact that about a quarter of the state’s caucusing electorate is Mormon. Arizona also has a large Mormon population; while McCain won there four years ago, aided by his home field advantage, Romney is projected to do well.ugg boots outlet And in Michigan, the family name is something of a golden ticket: Mitt’s father George, a former governor, is fondly remembered there. Expect few electoral upsets in February. (MORE:?After Florida Loss, Newt Gingrich Finds Himself at a Crossroads) That doesn’t mean anyone will be dropping out, though. Ron Paul, plugging away at his convention-delegate long game, isn’t going anywhere.fake ugg boots Gingrich is bitter enough to drag the nomination fight out for months and he’s stated his intention to do just that: “I would say probably six months, probably June or July, unless Mitt Romney drops out earlier,” he said when asked when the race might end. Campaigns don’t run on bile alone, of course, but Gingrich is pretty well fixed in the money department as well. He reported raising $10 million last quarter, added $5 million in January and has an open-pursed benefactor in casino magnate Sheldon Adelson to feed his super PAC when things get grim. Rick Santorum has been taking more of a beating at the polls, but he’s not liable to leap either.louis vuitton handbags for sale The former Senator isn’t the type to be pushed out by brute force or lured out with a quid pro quo. Besides, Romney has every reason to want him to stay in and continue to split the conservative vote with Newt. As is most often the case, financial considerations are the most relevant here, and Santorum’s campaign is the least well-provisioned of the four. But he did manage to raise $4.louis vuitton replica2 million in January, not far behind Gingrich, and roughly a quarter of that money remains in the bank. Santorum too has the beneficence of a tycoon to fall back on, with investor Foster Friess prepared to fund Santorum’s super PAC at least through March. (MORE:?The Confident Front Runner Once More: Primary Day with Mitt Romney) So take a breath, America. Drink some Gatorade.chanel outlet Election-watchers will need their electrolytes replenished for March, when 10 states vote in a single day on March 6 and weekly scheduled debates return. We may even get to find out who lives and who dies for good.
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Saturday, November 9, 2013

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